{"id":"01a1c2c3-33fa-754d-ac8c-232663886e68","title":"Will Georgia's Constitutional Court rule by 30 June 2027 that at least one of the five targeted opposition parties is unconstitutional and must be banned?","target_type":"decision","target_id":"01a1aef1-5670-73c5-8ec4-6902d665e037","deadline":"2027-06-30T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.7,"as_of":"2026-11-10T00:02:15.161666Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":1,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-10T00:02:15.161666Z","condition":"YES if the Constitutional Court of Georgia (Batumi plenum) publishes a ruling on Georgian Dream's lawsuit (constcourt.ge case legal=20319) that declares at least one of the five targeted parties — Unity-National Movement, Coalition for Change, Strong Georgia-Lelo, the Federalists, For Georgia — unconstitutional and bans it, on or before 30 June 2027. NO if by that date the court has rejected the lawsuit in full, dismissed/declined to ban all five, or has not ruled at all.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[{"id":"01a1c2c3-4c9b-7407-9040-e5f177e76667","title":"Will Georgia's Constitutional Court reject Georgian Dream's party-ban lawsuit in full by 30 June 2027, banning none of the five parties?","status":"open","probability":0.3,"as_of":"2026-11-10T00:02:21.466787Z","deadline":"2027-06-30T23:59:59Z"}],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}