{"id":"01a1c220-704d-7ac4-8988-ca0e29e26601","title":"Will the Partido Popular win the most seats of any single party in Spain's 29 November 2026 general election?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1c11e-cdac-7b60-92c9-818271cd3fc0","deadline":"2026-12-31T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.9,"as_of":"2026-11-09T21:04:28.235697Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":"01a1c220-562b-773f-8d3a-bddbec9e1c47","branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-09T21:04:28.235697Z","condition":"YES if the PP wins more Congress seats than any other single party in the 29 November 2026 election, per the official count. NO if the PSOE or any other party wins more seats than the PP.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":{"id":"01a1c220-562b-773f-8d3a-bddbec9e1c47","title":"Will Spain's PP and Vox together win an absolute majority (176+ of 350 seats) in the 29 November 2026 general election?","status":"open"},"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}