{"id":"01a1c1be-06b5-7dd1-b5e5-74300fb7064f","title":"Will ITLOS reject Argentina's provisional-measures request in Case No. 37 in its entirety on or before 31 December 2026?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1b5bc-3571-7d2d-949a-a33f0f9363ff","deadline":"2026-12-31T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.55,"as_of":"2026-11-09T19:16:58.677127Z","is_exclusive":true,"parent_forecast_id":"01a1c1bd-ecce-7ae6-8232-2ad6160b9420","branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-09T19:16:58.677127Z","condition":"YES if the Order published in Case No. 37 on or before 2026-12-31 finds that the Annex VII tribunal would not prima facie have jurisdiction (or otherwise declines) and prescribes no provisional measure at all. NO if any measure is prescribed, or if no Order is published by the deadline.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":{"id":"01a1c1bd-ecce-7ae6-8232-2ad6160b9420","title":"Will ITLOS prescribe at least one provisional measure against the UK in the Sea Lion case (Case No. 37) on or before 31 December 2026?","status":"open"},"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}