{"id":"01a1c130-6df7-7cbf-a7b4-4787eb8dc642","title":"Will the Bishkek mayor's office formally postpone the Ak-Zhorgo demolition so that no demolition occurs before 1 March 2027?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1bfc1-4e5d-7396-9416-d03b9b5544de","deadline":"2027-02-28T18:00:00Z","status":"open","probability":0.35,"as_of":"2026-11-09T16:42:18.999269Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":"01a1c130-4fd2-723d-a13c-382622f25939","branch_count":1,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-09T16:42:18.999269Z","condition":"Resolves YES if, on or before 2027-03-01T00:00:00+06:00, a dated report or official statement shows the Ak-Zhorgo demolition was postponed (e.g. a mayoralty decision, a presidential/parliamentary instruction, or a court injunction) and no demolition of the cooperative's garages had begun by 2027-03-01. Resolves NO if demolition begins before 2027-03-01, or if no postponement is documented and no demolition occurs (that is silence, not a postponement).","forecast_type":"binary","parent":{"id":"01a1c130-4fd2-723d-a13c-382622f25939","title":"Will demolition of the Ak-Zhorgo garage cooperative in Bishkek's 12th microdistrict begin on or before 31 December 2026?","status":"open"},"branches":[{"id":"01a1c131-d818-7b41-ab68-aaea9f3859e0","title":"Will the Ak-Zhorgo demolition begin between 1 March 2027 and 31 May 2027 — i.e. the owners' requested delay is granted, but only until spring?","status":"open","probability":0.3,"as_of":"2026-11-09T16:43:51.704102Z","deadline":"2027-05-31T17:59:59Z"}],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}