{"id":"01a1c130-4fd2-723d-a13c-382622f25939","title":"Will demolition of the Ak-Zhorgo garage cooperative in Bishkek's 12th microdistrict begin on or before 31 December 2026?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1bfc1-4e5d-7396-9416-d03b9b5544de","deadline":"2026-12-31T17:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.4,"as_of":"2026-11-10T14:00:01Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":1,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-09T16:42:11.280898Z","condition":"Resolves YES if, on or before 2026-12-31T23:59:59+06:00, a dated report (Kaktus.media, 24.kg, Kabar, AKIpress, or the Bishkek mayor's office) shows that municipal demolition of the Ak-Zhorgo consumer cooperative's garages in Bishkek's 12th microdistrict has physically begun (machinery on site removing boxes). Resolves NO if no demolition has begun by that deadline, or if a postponement/cancellation is announced before it. Silence alone does not resolve the question.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[{"id":"01a1c130-6df7-7cbf-a7b4-4787eb8dc642","title":"Will the Bishkek mayor's office formally postpone the Ak-Zhorgo demolition so that no demolition occurs before 1 March 2027?","status":"open","probability":0.35,"as_of":"2026-11-09T16:42:18.999269Z","deadline":"2027-02-28T18:00:00Z"}],"resolution":null,"point_count":2}