{"id":"01a1c129-34cd-7ba3-b1b6-2e5dc9171649","title":"Will the 2028 start of Russia's additive-production localization requirements be postponed past 1 January 2028 or withdrawn before it takes effect?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1c083-61b6-73b3-967b-62094dc401db","deadline":"2028-12-31T20:59:00Z","status":"open","probability":0.2,"as_of":"2026-11-09T16:34:25.612762Z","is_exclusive":true,"parent_forecast_id":"01a1c129-1556-7ab7-864d-9d9171f2bb45","branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-09T16:34:25.612762Z","condition":"YES if a dated official Russian source shows the entry into force moved to a date after 2028-01-01 (including later in 2028), or the requirement withdrawn/indefinitely suspended, at any point up to 2028-12-31. This refutes the parent. NO if by 2028-12-31 no dated source shows a postponement or withdrawal.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":{"id":"01a1c129-1556-7ab7-864d-9d9171f2bb45","title":"Will Russia's new localization requirements for additive production be in force on 1 January 2028, as the graph's start_date records?","status":"open"},"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}